β EFL Championship 2025-26 Β· Sat, Feb 21, 12:30 PM UTC Β· ref: W. Finnie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 48% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Bristol City win | 25% | 3.70 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City β0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Swansea β0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | β½ | Ε½an Vipotnik Β· Swansea |
| 44' | π¨ | Melker Widell Β· Swansea |
| 45' | π¨ | George Earthy Β· Bristol City |
| 72' | π¨ | Sinclair Armstrong Β· Bristol City |
| 87' | π¨ | Jay Fulton Β· Swansea |
| 90' | π¨ | Scott Twine Β· Bristol City |
| 90' | π¨ | Max Bird Β· Bristol City |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| coach days | 235.00 | 51.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1460.82 | 1486.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.54 | -16.29 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | -0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.60 |
| league points | 42.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 3.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.62 | -0.46 |
| solidity v1 | 0.40 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.15 | β |
| state index | 0.42 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 1.32 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.62 | 0.74 |