← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 21, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Madley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 42% | 2.20 |
| QPR win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Hull −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ (og) | Paddy McNair · QPR |
| 37' | 🟨 | Regan Slater · Hull |
| 39' | ⚽ | Joe Gelhardt · Hull |
| 44' | 🟨 | Liam Millar · Hull |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ronnie Edwards · QPR |
| 74' | 🟨 | Paddy McNair · Hull |
| 84' | ⚽ | Daniel Bennie · QPR |
| 90' | ⚽ | Richard Kone · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | MKM Stadium |
| 235.00 |
| 235.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1506.32 | 1443.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.40 | -11.97 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.67 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.20 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.54 |
| league points | 54.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 13.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.73 | -0.42 |
| solidity v1 | 0.37 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.67 | — |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.68 | -0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| travel km | — | 248.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.26 | 0.89 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 1.08 |