← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Feb 17, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Doughty
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 35% | 2.65 |
| Portsmouth win | 33% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.85 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton +0 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Portsmouth +0 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.63 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Harry Clarke · Charlton |
| 14' | 🟨 | Luke Chambers · Charlton |
| 22' | ⚽ | Terry Devlin · Portsmouth |
| 27' | 🟨 | Miles Leaburn · Charlton |
| 31' | 🟨 | Marlon Pack · Portsmouth |
| 34' | 🟨 | Thomas Kaminski · Charlton |
| 35' | ⚽ (pen) | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
| 38' | 🟨 | Lloyd Jones · Charlton |
| 54' | 🟨 | Conor Coventry · Charlton |
| 56' | ⚽ | Terry Devlin · Portsmouth |
| 64' | ⚽ | Jayden Fevrier · Charlton |
| 74' | 🟨 | Sonny Carey · Charlton |
| 87' | 🟨 | Ebou Adams · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 7 |
| 7 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charlton | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | The Valley |
| coach days |
| 747.00 |
| 1143.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.86 | 3.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1513.28 | 1428.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.90 | -3.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.65 |
| league points | 39.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | 0.18 |
| solidity v1 | -0.17 | 1.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| travel km | — | 108.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.76 | 0.82 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 1.69 |