← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Feb 17, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: R. Ricardo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Wrexham win | 28% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Wrexham −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Oliver Rathbone · Wrexham |
| 40' | 🟨 | Oliver Rathbone · Wrexham |
| 44' | 🟨 | Neto Borges · Bristol City |
| 47' | ⚽ | Sinclair Armstrong · Bristol City |
| 54' | 🟨 | Max Cleworth · Wrexham |
| 73' | 🟨 | Dominic Hyam · Wrexham |
| 76' | ⚽ (og) | Joe Williams · Wrexham |
| 89' | ⚽ | Max Bird · Bristol City |
| 90' | 🟨 | Delano Burgzorg · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| coach days |
| 47.00 |
| 1692.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1485.31 | 1596.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.98 | -32.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.97 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 65.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.61 |
| league points | 46.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 10.20 | 10.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | -0.15 |
| solidity v1 | -0.06 | 0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | — | 30.74 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.32 | 0.73 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.96 |