← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Mon, Feb 16, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Bramall
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 43% | 2.20 |
| Middlesbrough win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Coventry −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Haji Wright · Coventry |
| 22' | 🟨 | Aidan Morris · Middlesbrough |
| 27' | 🟨 | Frank Onyeka · Coventry |
| 49' | 🟨 | Tatsuhiro Sakamoto · Coventry |
| 55' | ⚽ | Haji Wright · Coventry |
| 67' | ⚽ | Riley McGree · Middlesbrough |
| 70' | 🟨 | Luke Ayling · Middlesbrough |
| 71' | ⚽ (pen) | Haji Wright · Coventry |
| 72' | 🟨 | Matt Grimes · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days |
| 472.00 |
| 199.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 3.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1567.69 | 1557.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.86 | 49.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.41 | 0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 44.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.81 |
| league points | 59.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 60.60 |
| rest days | 9.21 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.03 | 0.91 |
| solidity v1 | 0.28 | 0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.80 |
| squad age | — | 28.62 |
| state index | 0.06 | 0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | 1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 237.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 0.74 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.94 | 1.36 |