← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Martin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| Blackburn win | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| QPR −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Mathias Jørgensen · Blackburn |
| 35' | ⚽ | Koki Saito · QPR |
| 36' | 🟨 | Sean McLoughlin · Blackburn |
| 38' | 🟨 | Isaac Hayden · QPR |
| 40' | ⚽ | Mathias Jørgensen · Blackburn |
| 50' | ⚽ | Ryoya Morishita · Blackburn |
| 78' | 🟨 | Harvey Vale · QPR |
| 84' | 🟨 | Ryoya Morishita · Blackburn |
| 90' | 🟨 | Eiran Joe Cashin · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Loftus Road |
| coach days |
| 228.00 |
| 197.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1463.78 | 1404.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.55 | -27.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | -1.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.64 |
| league points | 44.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.79 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 7.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.12 | -0.51 |
| solidity v1 | 1.01 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.86 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.09 | 0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.14 |
| travel km | — | 290.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.76 | 1.64 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.67 |