← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Portsmouth win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth +0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Sheffield United +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portsmouth | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| venue | Fratton Park |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 1140.00 | 806.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.62 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1568.79 | 1650.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.99 | 5.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| league points | 33.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | -0.60 |
| solidity v1 | 0.93 | -0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.89 | 25.65 |
| state index | 0.59 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.00 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| travel km | — | 287.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.83 | 1.35 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 1.15 |