← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Feb 10, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Herczeg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham win | 56% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| West Brom win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom −0.75 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Birmingham −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Daniel Imray · West Brom |
| 30' | 🟨 | Callum Styles · West Brom |
| 64' | 🟨 | Isaac Price · West Brom |
| 90' | 🟨 | Carlos Vicente · Birmingham |
| 90' | 🟨 | Charlie Taylor · West Brom |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alex Mowatt · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Birmingham | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park |
| coach days |
| 619.00 |
| 193.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.68 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1589.64 | 1387.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.81 | -43.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| league points | 45.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -0.38 |
| solidity v1 | 1.07 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.39 | 25.25 |
| state index | 0.65 | -1.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.59 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 7.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.81 | 1.01 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.38 | 0.81 |