← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Feb 10, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Allison
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 40% | 2.32 |
| Oxford win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford +0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Norwich +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Mohamed Touré · Norwich |
| 19' | ⚽ | Mohamed Touré · Norwich |
| 47' | ⚽ | Mohamed Touré · Norwich |
| 53' | 🟨 | Ben Chrisene · Norwich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Myles Peart-Harris · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Kassam Stadium |
| 193.00 |
| 193.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1402.86 | 1447.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.25 | 60.27 |
| eye test v1 | -1.41 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.71 |
| league points | 28.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.40 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 34.00 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -2.08 | -0.36 |
| solidity v1 | 0.58 | 1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | — | 26.52 |
| state index | -0.78 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 0.92 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.87 | 0.87 |