← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Mon, Feb 9, 08:01 PM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Middlesbrough win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Sheffield United −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 19 |
| 5 | On target | 9 |
| 8 | Corners | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sheffield United | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| venue | Bramall Lane |
| coach days |
| 801.00 |
| 192.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 3.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1514.98 | 1546.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.42 | 51.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | 0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 44.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.80 |
| league points | 39.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 85.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 59.20 |
| rest days | 6.01 | 9.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | 1.02 |
| solidity v1 | 0.29 | 0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 23.94 | 28.62 |
| state index | 0.28 | 0.93 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | 0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 135.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 0.78 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 1.53 |