← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 7, 03:01 PM UTC · ref: T. Robinson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 36% | 2.57 |
| Wrexham win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall +0 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Wrexham +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 56' | 🟨 | Max Cleworth · Wrexham |
| 59' | ⚽ (og) | Max Cleworth · Millwall |
| 62' | 🟨 | Mihailo Ivanovic · Millwall |
| 69' | 🟨 | Barry Bannan · Millwall |
| 82' | 🟨 | Tom Watson · Millwall |
| 85' | ⚽ | Josh Coburn · Millwall |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Racecourse Ground |
| coach days | 1682.00 | 433.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1618.45 | 1517.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.95 | 32.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | 0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.30 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| league points | 47.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | -0.33 |
| solidity v1 | 1.02 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 30.74 | — |
| state index | 0.39 | 0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | -1.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.73 | 1.13 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.82 | 2.02 |