← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 7, 03:01 PM UTC · ref: O. Langford
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Bristol City win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull +0 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Bristol City +0 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Oliver McBurnie · Hull |
| 33' | ⚽ | Robert Atkinson · Bristol City |
| 39' | ⚽ | Ross McCrorie · Bristol City |
| 50' | ⚽ | Emil Riis · Bristol City |
| 78' | ⚽ | Kieran Dowell · Hull |
| 81' | 🟨 | Toby Collyer · Hull |
| 87' | 🟨 | Regan Slater · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | MKM Stadium |
| coach days |
| 221.00 |
| 37.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1519.31 | 1472.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.72 | -50.82 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | -0.93 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.92 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.90 | 50.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.89 | 0.71 |
| league points | 54.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.20 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 7.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.28 | 0.15 |
| solidity v1 | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 29.02 | — |
| state index | 0.44 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.34 | 1.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 1.16 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 0.66 |