← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 7, 03:01 PM UTC · ref: R. Ricardo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 65% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.33 |
| Oxford win | 14% | 6.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford −1.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Coventry −1.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Ciaron Brown · Oxford |
| 41' | 🟨 | Tatsuhiro Sakamoto · Coventry |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sam Long · Oxford |
| 49' | 🟨 | Cameron Brannagan · Oxford |
| 59' | 🟨 | Will Lankshear · Oxford |
| 67' | 🟨 | Jamie Cumming · Oxford |
| 73' | 🟨 | Brodie Spencer · Oxford |
| 77' | 🟨 | Will Lankshear · Oxford |
| 77' | 🟥 | Will Lankshear · Oxford |
| 89' | 🟨 | Ole Romeny · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 10 | Corners | 0 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days |
| 463.00 |
| 190.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1573.62 | 1396.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.14 | -4.96 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | -1.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.60 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| league points | 58.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 62.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 38.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.93 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.89 | -1.66 |
| solidity v1 | -0.32 | 1.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | -1.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.25 | 0.79 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.75 | 1.08 |