← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 7, 12:31 PM UTC · ref: J. Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Blackburn win | 29% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Blackburn −0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 73' | ⚽ | Anis Ben Slimane · Norwich |
| 74' | 🟨 | Anis Ben Slimane · Norwich |
| 78' | ⚽ | Mohamed Touré · Norwich |
| 83' | 🟨 | Samuel Field · Norwich |
| 88' | 🟨 | Todd Cantwell · Blackburn |
| 88' | 🟨 | Eiran Joe Cashin · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days |
| 190.00 |
| 190.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1436.15 | 1415.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.97 | -26.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.99 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.53 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 33.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 3.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.51 | -0.37 |
| solidity v1 | 0.34 | -0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 29.13 | — |
| state index | 0.04 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | 0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| travel km | — | 281.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 1.63 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.79 |