← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Fri, Feb 6, 08:01 PM UTC · ref: T. Nield
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 38% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
| Charlton win | 31% | 3.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR +0 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Charlton +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Harvey Vale · QPR |
| 47' | 🟨 | Luke Chambers · Charlton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Harry Clarke · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 18 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charlton | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | The Valley |
| 736.00 |
| 220.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.02 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1509.40 | 1460.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.10 | 16.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | -0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.54 |
| league points | 35.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 6.31 | 6.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.20 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -1.27 |
| solidity v1 | -0.43 | 0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.30 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | -1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| travel km | — | 18.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.84 | 0.91 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 0.73 |