← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Feb 3, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Backhouse
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 68% | 1.37 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.33 |
| Oxford win | 11% | 8.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford −1.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Sheffield United −1.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Myles Peart-Harris · Oxford |
| 17' | 🟨 | Oliver Arblaster · Sheffield United |
| 41' | ⚽ | Sydie Peck · Sheffield United |
| 43' | 🟨 | Will Vaulks · Oxford |
| 66' | ⚽ | Andre Brooks · Sheffield United |
| 76' | 🟨 | Cameron Brannagan · Oxford |
| 80' | 🟨 | Christ Makosso · Oxford |
| 83' | ⚽ | Chiedozie Ogbene · Sheffield United |
| 88' | 🟨 | Thomas Cannon · Sheffield United |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sydie Peck · Sheffield United |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sheffield United | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Bramall Lane |
| coach days | 795.00 | 186.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1653.46 | 1523.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.04 | -0.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -1.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | — |
| league points | 36.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 66.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.62 | -1.34 |
| solidity v1 | 0.51 | 0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 24.43 | 26.74 |
| state index | 0.58 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.82 | -0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 0.87 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.09 |