← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 31, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 50% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| QPR win | 25% | 3.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry +0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| QPR +0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Richard Kone · QPR |
| 53' | ⚽ | Josh Eccles · Coventry |
| 66' | ⚽ | Richard Kone · QPR |
| 73' | ⚽ | Nicolas Madsen · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bobby Thomas · Coventry |
| 90' | 🟨 | Josh Eccles · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Loftus Road |
| 214.00 |
| 456.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1448.56 | 1585.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.33 | -11.60 |
| eye test v1 | -1.49 | 0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.76 |
| league points | 40.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 17.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.10 | 0.91 |
| solidity v1 | 0.48 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.60 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| travel km | — | 135.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.09 | 1.31 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.54 | 1.94 |