← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 31, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 39% | 2.40 |
| Sheffield United win | 33% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United −0.25 | 55% | 1.73 |
| Millwall −0.25 | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.91 |
| Under | 50% | 1.91 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Andre Brooks · Sheffield United |
| 19' | ⚽ | Mihailo Ivanovic · Millwall |
| 69' | 🟨 | Mark McGuinness · Sheffield United |
| 78' | 🟨 | Jake Cooper · Millwall |
| 84' | 🟨 | Casper De Norre · Millwall |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Millwall | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | The Den |
| coach days | 426.00 | 792.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.08 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1519.17 | 1504.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.17 | 19.39 |
| eye test v1 | 0.61 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| league points | 49.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.43 | -0.26 |
| solidity v1 | 0.79 | 0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 27.01 |
| state index | 0.66 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.57 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 0.93 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.03 | 1.66 |