← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 31, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Toner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 57% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.10 |
| Norwich win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough −0.75 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Norwich −0.75 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Hayden Hackney · Middlesbrough |
| 56' | 🟨 | Vladan Kovačević · Norwich |
| 72' | 🟨 | David Strelec · Middlesbrough |
| 80' | 🟨 | Aidan Morris · Middlesbrough |
| 80' | 🟨 | Anis Ben Slimane · Norwich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days |
| 183.00 |
| 183.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.75 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1540.79 | 1441.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.31 | 53.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.94 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.20 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.67 |
| league points | 55.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.00 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 4.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.32 | -0.40 |
| solidity v1 | 0.78 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.62 | 29.13 |
| state index | 0.80 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 274.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.92 | 1.33 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.69 | 0.95 |