← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 31, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Kitchen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 51% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Charlton win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Charlton −0.5 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟥 | Caleb Okoli · Leicester |
| 36' | ⚽ | Sonny Carey · Charlton |
| 40' | 🟨 | Lyndon Dykes · Charlton |
| 45' | ⚽ | Lyndon Dykes · Charlton |
| 52' | 🟨 | Harry Clarke · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leicester | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | King Power Stadium |
| coach days | 183.00 | 730.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.02 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1453.70 | 1493.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.91 | -21.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | -0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| league points | 38.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -0.50 |
| solidity v1 | -0.72 | -0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.19 | — |
| state index | -0.55 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.80 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 149.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.78 | 1.76 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.74 | 1.01 |