← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Mon, Jan 26, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Kirk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Norwich win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Norwich +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Romain Esse · Coventry |
| 38' | ⚽ | Romain Esse · Coventry |
| 46' | ⚽ | Anis Ben Slimane · Norwich |
| 55' | 🟨 | José Córdoba · Norwich |
| 67' | ⚽ | Ali Ahmed · Norwich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 178.00 | 451.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1428.80 | 1598.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.35 | -20.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.75 |
| league points | 30.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 6.01 | 6.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 2.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | 0.58 |
| solidity v1 | 0.90 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 29.13 | — |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| travel km | — | 190.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.07 | 1.29 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.89 | 1.76 |