← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Langford
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 40% | 2.32 |
| Wrexham win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham −0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| QPR −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Harvey Vale · QPR |
| 12' | 🟨 | Dan Scarr · Wrexham |
| 44' | 🟨 | Amadou Salif Mbengue · QPR |
| 54' | ⚽ | Callum Doyle · Wrexham |
| 56' | 🟨 | Ben Sheaf · Wrexham |
| 61' | 🟨 | Paul Smyth · QPR |
| 80' | ⚽ | Steve Cook · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Amadou Salif Mbengue · QPR |
| 90' | 🟥 | Amadou Salif Mbengue · QPR |
| 90' | ⚽ | Josh Windass · Wrexham |
| 90' | ⚽ | Oliver Rathbone · Wrexham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Loftus Road |
| 207.00 |
| 1668.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1455.99 | 1607.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.04 | 0.16 |
| eye test v1 | -1.54 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 66.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| league points | 40.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.29 | -0.12 |
| solidity v1 | 0.81 | 0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | — | 30.74 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 0.77 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.45 | 1.23 |