← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 52% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Oxford win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Oxford −0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Sam Long · Oxford |
| 44' | 🟨 | Cameron Brannagan · Oxford |
| 59' | 🟨 | Jack Currie · Oxford |
| 71' | ⚽ | Mark Harris · Oxford |
| 84' | ⚽ | Abdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester |
| 85' | 🟨 | Matt Phillips · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leicester | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | King Power Stadium |
| coach days |
| 176.00 |
| 176.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1467.14 | 1402.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.03 | -6.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | -0.89 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.77 |
| league points | 38.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.50 | -1.04 |
| solidity v1 | -0.40 | 0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 28.25 | — |
| state index | -0.29 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | -0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.54 | 0.95 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.89 |