← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Herczeg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 45% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
| Watford win | 25% | 3.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Watford −0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Edo Kayembe · Watford |
| 28' | ⚽ | Lewis Miller · Blackburn |
| 45' | 🟨 | Hector Kyprianou · Watford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Edo Kayembe · Watford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days |
| 176.00 |
| 23.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1419.91 | 1473.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.43 | 21.67 |
| eye test v1 | -1.11 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.72 |
| league points | 28.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | -0.13 |
| solidity v1 | -0.07 | 1.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | — | 27.05 |
| state index | -0.96 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 270.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.32 | 0.80 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.89 | 0.93 |