← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Wed, Jan 21, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Thomas Kirk, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton win | 46% | 2.01 |
| Sheffield United win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Sheffield United −0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Leo Scienza · Southampton |
| 53' | 🟨 | Callum O'Hare · Sheffield United |
| 55' | 🟨 | Leo Scienza · Southampton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Caspar Jander · Southampton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Shea Charles · Southampton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Southampton | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | St. Mary's Stadium |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 204.00 | 782.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1416.62 | 1499.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.30 | 27.93 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | 0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | -0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.67 |
| league points | 33.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.60 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.00 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.17 | 0.50 |
| solidity v1 | -0.14 | 0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.39 | 25.34 |
| state index | -0.83 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.78 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| travel km | — | 274.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.96 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.56 | 2.06 |