← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Jan 20, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Matt Donohue, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Leicester win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Leicester −0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 63' | ⚽ | Lewis O'Brien · Wrexham |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jordan Ayew · Leicester |
| 84' | 🟨 | Ricardo Pereira · Leicester |
| 90' | 🟨 | Callum Doyle · Wrexham |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jannik Vestergaard · Leicester |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Racecourse Ground |
| coach days | 1664.00 | 172.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | 1.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1612.92 | 1461.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.93 | -13.77 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | -0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.50 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| league points | 40.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | -0.44 |
| solidity v1 | 0.41 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 30.74 | 27.15 |
| state index | 0.46 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 1.61 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 0.71 |