← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Jan 20, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Elliot Bell, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 48% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Norwich win | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich −0.5 | 53% | 1.80 |
| West Brom −0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Callum Styles · West Brom |
| 16' | ⚽ | Oscar Schwartau · Norwich |
| 23' | 🟨 | Krystian Bielik · West Brom |
| 49' | ⚽ | Ali Ahmed · Norwich |
| 69' | ⚽ | Anis Ben Slimane · Norwich |
| 72' | 🟨 | Michael Johnston · West Brom |
| 73' | ⚽ | Ben Chrisene · Norwich |
| 87' | 🟨 | Vladan Kovačević · Norwich |
| 89' | ⚽ | Mathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days |
| 172.00 |
| 172.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1420.61 | 1404.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.46 | 18.64 |
| eye test v1 | 0.55 | -0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| league points | 31.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 3.99 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | -0.16 |
| solidity v1 | 1.03 | 1.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.51 | 29.13 |
| state index | -0.54 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| travel km | — | 221.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.86 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.26 | 0.96 |