← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Jan 20, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Will Finnie, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford win | 42% | 2.20 |
| QPR win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Oxford −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 55' | 🟨 | Karamoko Dembélé · QPR |
| 58' | 🟨 | Will Vaulks · Oxford |
| 58' | 🟨 | Paul Smyth · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 172.00 | 203.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1403.11 | 1455.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.27 | -10.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.89 | -1.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.52 | -0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.62 |
| league points | 23.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.15 | -1.15 |
| solidity v1 | 0.55 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| state index | -0.48 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.05 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.97 | 1.17 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.86 | 0.68 |