← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Jan 20, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Dean Whitestone, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 59% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.80 |
| Bristol City win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich −0.75 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Bristol City −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.91 |
| Under | 50% | 1.91 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Jack Clarke · Ipswich |
| 40' | 🟨 | Neto Borges · Bristol City |
| 55' | ⚽ | Jack Clarke · Ipswich |
| 60' | 🟨 | Sam Morsy · Bristol City |
| 62' | 🟨 | Robert Dickie · Bristol City |
| 71' | 🟨 | Darnell Furlong · Ipswich |
| 74' | 🟨 | George Tanner · Bristol City |
| 87' | 🟨 | Adam Randell · Bristol City |
| 89' | 🟨 | Sinclair Armstrong · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ipswich | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Portman Road |
| coach days | 1511.00 | 19.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1550.57 | 1503.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.34 | -7.12 |
| eye test v1 | 0.48 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.69 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.83 |
| league points | 47.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.81 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.75 | -0.11 |
| solidity v1 | 1.34 | 0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.67 | — |
| state index | 1.07 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.98 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.50 | 0.81 |