← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Will Finnie, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 45% | 2.10 |
| Norwich win | 29% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Norwich −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Anis Ben Slimane · Norwich |
| 24' | ⚽ | Sam Smith · Wrexham |
| 59' | ⚽ | Jovon Makama · Norwich |
| 79' | 🟨 | Pelle Mattsson · Norwich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Racecourse Ground |
| coach days |
| 1661.00 |
| 169.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1629.93 | 1387.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.24 | 6.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.30 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.61 |
| league points | 40.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | -0.11 |
| solidity v1 | -0.08 | 1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 30.74 | 29.13 |
| state index | 0.56 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.00 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.92 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.37 | 0.99 |