← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver Langford, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 50% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
| Charlton win | 25% | 3.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United +0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Charlton +0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟥 | Djibril Soumaré · Sheffield United |
| 42' | 🟨 | James Bree · Charlton |
| 45' | 🟥 | Japhet Tanganga · Sheffield United |
| 46' | ⚽ | Sonny Carey · Charlton |
| 52' | 🟨 | Lloyd Jones · Charlton |
| 74' | 🟨 | Tyreece Campbell · Charlton |
| 78' | 🟨 | Joe Rankin-Costello · Charlton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Femi Seriki · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charlton | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | The Valley |
| coach days | 716.00 | 778.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1562.46 | 1655.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.87 | 10.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | 0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| league points | 29.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 15.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.01 | 0.76 |
| solidity v1 | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.82 | 25.38 |
| state index | -0.19 | 0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 233.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 1.21 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.15 |