← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 17, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: Andrew Kitchen, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 63% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.10 |
| Blackburn win | 15% | 6.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich −1 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Blackburn −1 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ (og) | Eiran Joe Cashin · Ipswich |
| 12' | ⚽ | Jack Taylor · Ipswich |
| 25' | 🟨 | Tom Atcheson · Blackburn |
| 69' | 🟨 | Sondre Tronstad · Blackburn |
| 81' | 🟨 | Todd Cantwell · Blackburn |
| 86' | 🟨 | Eiran Joe Cashin · Blackburn |
| 88' | ⚽ | Sammie Szmodics · Ipswich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 0 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ipswich | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Portman Road |
| coach days |
| 1508.00 |
| 169.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1540.54 | 1441.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.01 | 5.93 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.80 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.64 |
| league points | 44.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 15.90 | 12.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.52 | -0.50 |
| solidity v1 | 1.17 | 0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.59 | — |
| state index | 0.62 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 306.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.71 | 1.05 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 1.16 |