← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Jan 17, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: Lewis Smith, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 60% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.33 |
| Leicester win | 18% | 5.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester −1 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Coventry −1 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Jordan James · Leicester |
| 47' | ⚽ | Ellis Simms · Coventry |
| 85' | 🟨 | Jeremy Monga · Leicester |
| 85' | ⚽ | Haji Wright · Coventry |
| 88' | 🟨 | Caleb Okoli · Leicester |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jay Dasilva · Coventry |
| 90' | 🟨 | Silko Thomas · Leicester |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jordan James · Leicester |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days | 442.00 | 169.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 1.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1587.55 | 1466.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.80 | -25.15 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -1.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.66 |
| league points | 52.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 13.02 | 11.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | -0.45 |
| solidity v1 | -0.01 | -0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.00 |
| squad age | — | 26.80 |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| travel km | — | 30.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 1.47 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.09 | 0.65 |