← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Fri, Jan 16, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Josh Smith, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 39% | 2.40 |
| Middlesbrough win | 33% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom +0 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Middlesbrough +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | ⚽ (og) | Charlie Taylor · Middlesbrough |
| 58' | ⚽ | Samuel Silvera · Middlesbrough |
| 69' | 🟨 | Chris Mepham · West Brom |
| 75' | ⚽ | Isaac Price · West Brom |
| 80' | ⚽ | Jed Wallace · West Brom |
| 88' | 🟨 | Callum Styles · West Brom |
| 90' | ⚽ | Delano Burgzorg · Middlesbrough |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 4 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days |
| 168.00 |
| 168.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 5.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1430.10 | 1507.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.84 | -28.41 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 43.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.64 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| league points | 31.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 63.80 |
| rest days | 11.00 | 12.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 9.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 20.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | 1.21 |
| solidity v1 | 1.30 | 0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.41 | 28.62 |
| state index | -0.40 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| travel km | — | 235.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.95 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 1.60 |