← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Mon, Jan 5, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Stephen Martin, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Leicester win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Leicester +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Jordan Ayew · Leicester |
| 34' | ⚽ | Karlan Grant · West Brom |
| 77' | 🟨 | Hamza Choudhury · Leicester |
| 90' | ⚽ | Abdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leicester | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | King Power Stadium |
| coach days | 157.00 | 157.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1459.23 | 1437.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.55 | -2.77 |
| eye test v1 | -1.21 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.55 |
| league points | 34.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 19.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 4.10 | 4.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | 0.25 |
| solidity v1 | -0.21 | 1.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.68 | 27.65 |
| state index | -0.53 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 56.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 0.80 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.69 | 1.56 |