← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sun, Jan 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: David Webb, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.17 |
| Charlton win | 24% | 3.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Charlton −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.58 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Charlie Kelman · Charlton |
| 34' | ⚽ (pen) | Charlie Kelman · Charlton |
| 37' | ⚽ | Moussa Baradji · Blackburn |
| 48' | 🟨 | Connor O'Riordan · Blackburn |
| 50' | 🟨 | Macaulay Gillesphey · Charlton |
| 61' | 🟨 | Conor Coventry · Charlton |
| 77' | ⚽ | Moussa Baradji · Blackburn |
| 87' | 🟨 | Lloyd Jones · Charlton |
| 90' | 🟨 | James Bree · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days |
| 156.00 |
| 703.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 3.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1441.53 | 1515.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.63 | -13.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -1.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| league points | 27.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.36 | -0.99 |
| solidity v1 | 1.06 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | -0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 302.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.81 | 1.06 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 0.93 |