← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Thu, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: James Linington, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
| Swansea win | 29% | 3.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| West Brom +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.61 |
| Over | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | George Campbell · West Brom |
| 26' | 🟨 | Callum Styles · West Brom |
| 31' | 🟨 | Alex Mowatt · West Brom |
| 45' | 🟨 | Samuel Iling Junior · West Brom |
| 53' | 🟨 | Ousmane Diakité · West Brom |
| 68' | 🟨 | Josh Tymon · Swansea |
| 74' | ⚽ | Jay Fulton · Swansea |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jay Fulton · Swansea |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| coach days | 184.00 | 153.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1438.98 | 1446.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.64 | -2.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.69 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.55 |
| league points | 29.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | 0.45 |
| solidity v1 | 1.09 | 1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.55 | 27.59 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| travel km | — | 165.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.86 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 1.61 |