← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Thu, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Dean Whitestone, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Norwich win | 27% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| QPR −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Ben Chrisene · Norwich |
| 46' | ⚽ | Josh Sargent · Norwich |
| 72' | 🟨 | Vladan Kovačević · Norwich |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jack Stacey · Norwich |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jovon Makama · Norwich |
| 90' | ⚽ | Amadou Salif Mbengue · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Loftus Road |
| coach days | 184.00 | 153.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1457.89 | 1388.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.81 | 22.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.49 | -0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.63 |
| league points | 35.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.70 | 0.00 |
| solidity v1 | 0.46 | 0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | — | 29.13 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.64 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 162.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 1.37 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 1.02 |