← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Thu, Jan 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Josh Smith, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.54 |
| Charlton win | 26% | 3.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton +0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Coventry +0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Ellis Simms · Coventry |
| 15' | 🟨 | Liam Kitching · Coventry |
| 27' | 🟨 | Reece Burke · Charlton |
| 42' | 🟨 | Milan van Ewijk · Coventry |
| 69' | ⚽ | Joe Rankin-Costello · Charlton |
| 73' | 🟨 | Harvey Knibbs · Charlton |
| 90' | 🟨 | James Bree · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 20 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charlton | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| venue | The Valley |
| coach days |
| 700.00 |
| 426.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1514.85 | 1597.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.87 | -17.63 |
| eye test v1 | -1.25 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 63.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.76 |
| league points | 27.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 2.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.29 | 0.08 |
| solidity v1 | 0.46 | 0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.49 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| travel km | — | 149.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.89 | 1.06 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.69 | 1.33 |