← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Thu, Jan 1, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: Thomas Kirk, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 49% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Wrexham win | 24% | 4.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Blackburn −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.65 |
| Over | 41% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Sam Smith · Wrexham |
| 30' | 🟨 | Moussa Baradji · Blackburn |
| 37' | 🟨 | Todd Cantwell · Blackburn |
| 38' | ⚽ | Oliver Rathbone · Wrexham |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sam Smith · Wrexham |
| 64' | 🟨 | George Dobson · Wrexham |
| 67' | 🟨 | Lewis Miller · Blackburn |
| 75' | 🟨 | Sondre Tronstad · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days |
| 153.00 |
| 1645.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1452.32 | 1612.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.74 | -27.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 63.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.76 |
| league points | 27.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 2.70 | 2.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | -0.09 |
| solidity v1 | 1.21 | -0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | — | 30.74 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.78 | 1.62 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.54 |