← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Mon, Dec 29, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Lewis Smith, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 54% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.95 |
| QPR win | 21% | 4.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom −0.5 | 55% | 1.77 |
| QPR −0.5 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | George Campbell · West Brom |
| 35' | ⚽ (og) | Ousmane Diakité · QPR |
| 37' | 🟨 | Jimmy Dunne · QPR |
| 42' | 🟨 | Kieran Morgan · QPR |
| 55' | ⚽ | Nathaniel Phillips · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 3 |
| 4 | On target | 0 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| 150.00 |
| 181.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1437.16 | 1467.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.60 | 34.67 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.48 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.58 |
| league points | 28.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 40.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.49 | -0.63 |
| solidity v1 | 0.37 | 0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.18 | — |
| state index | -0.45 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | -1.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| travel km | — | 162.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.23 | 1.15 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.61 | 1.41 |