← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Mon, Dec 29, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Paul Tierney, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth win | 38% | 2.52 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.11 |
| Charlton win | 31% | 3.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton −0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Portsmouth −0.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 59' | 🟨 | Amari'i Bell · Charlton |
| 61' | 🟨 | Joe Rankin-Costello · Charlton |
| 69' | ⚽ | Conor Shaughnessy · Portsmouth |
| 74' | 🟨 | Regan Poole · Portsmouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ibane Bowat · Portsmouth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Harvey Knibbs · Charlton |
| 90' | ⚽ | Yang Min-hyeok · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 11 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portsmouth | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Fratton Park |
| coach days |
| 1093.00 |
| 697.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 1.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.31 |
| elo | 1424.86 | 1526.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.53 | -25.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.78 | -1.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.40 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| league points | 22.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -10.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | -1.34 |
| solidity v1 | 0.59 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| state index | -0.43 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.49 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| travel km | — | 108.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.88 | 1.23 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.94 | 0.62 |