β EFL Championship 2025-26 Β· Mon, Dec 29, 07:45 PM UTC Β· ref: Adam Herczeg, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford win | 36% | 2.69 |
| Swansea win | 35% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.28 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Swansea +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | π¨ | Tyler Goodrham Β· Oxford |
| 13' | β½ | Ε½an Vipotnik Β· Swansea |
| 35' | π¨ | Melker Widell Β· Swansea |
| 53' | π¨ | Zeidane Inoussa Β· Swansea |
| 69' | π¨ | Jack Currie Β· Oxford |
| 73' | π¨ | Marko Stamenic Β· Swansea |
| 75' | π¨ | Ji-sung Eom Β· Swansea |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 150.00 | 181.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.90 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1418.40 | 1427.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.47 | 25.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.65 |
| league points | 22.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.88 | 0.20 |
| solidity v1 | 0.25 | 0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | β | 26.55 |
| state index | -0.51 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.11 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.87 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.96 | 1.24 |