← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 26, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Andrew Kitchen, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Wrexham win | 31% | 3.11 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Sheffield United +0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Patrick Bamford · Sheffield United |
| 9' | ⚽ (og) | Tyler Bindon · Wrexham |
| 15' | ⚽ | Patrick Bamford · Sheffield United |
| 24' | ⚽ | Callum O'Hare · Sheffield United |
| 28' | ⚽ | Kieffer Moore · Wrexham |
| 51' | ⚽ | Ryan Longman · Wrexham |
| 65' | 🟨 | Gustavo Hamer · Sheffield United |
| 67' | 🟨 | Ryan Longman · Wrexham |
| 76' | ⚽ | Kieffer Moore · Wrexham |
| 80' | 🟨 | Tyler Bindon · Sheffield United |
| 81' | ⚽ (pen) |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Racecourse Ground |
| coach days | 1639.00 | 756.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1609.62 | 1646.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.18 | 23.72 |
| eye test v1 | -1.03 | 0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.60 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.68 |
| league points | 28.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | 0.21 |
| solidity v1 | -0.39 | 0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.14 | 25.96 |
| state index | -0.33 | 0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | -1.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 1.09 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.19 | 2.05 |