← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Will Finnie, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 46% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
| Bristol City win | 26% | 3.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Bristol City −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Anis Mehmeti · Bristol City |
| 16' | 🟨 | Anis Mehmeti · Bristol City |
| 22' | ⚽ | Ross McCrorie · Bristol City |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ross McCrorie · Bristol City |
| 58' | 🟨 | Ousmane Diakité · West Brom |
| 62' | 🟨 | Cameron Pring · Bristol City |
| 85' | ⚽ | Ousmane Diakité · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.56 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days | 147.00 | 178.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1447.07 | 1510.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.66 | 3.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | 1.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.76 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.69 |
| league points | 28.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.50 | 0.01 |
| solidity v1 | 0.54 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 9.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.00 |
| squad age | 27.18 | — |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 1.68 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.64 | 1.54 |