← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Matt Donohue, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Charlton win | 27% | 3.64 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Norwich −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 46' | 🟨 | Ben Chrisene · Norwich |
| 61' | ⚽ | Jovon Makama · Norwich |
| 64' | 🟨 | Jovon Makama · Norwich |
| 64' | 🟨 | Thomas Kaminski · Charlton |
| 65' | 🟨 | Harry Darling · Norwich |
| 77' | 🟨 | Tyreece Campbell · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 147.00 | 694.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 1.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.31 |
| elo | 1547.54 | 1574.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.71 | -15.77 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -1.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 18.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 18.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 38.60 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -10.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.00 | -1.47 |
| solidity v1 | -0.46 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 29.13 | — |
| state index | 0.24 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| travel km | — | 153.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.69 | 1.14 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 0.60 |