← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Simon Hooper, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Birmingham win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham −0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Sheffield United −0.25 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.78 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Phil Neumann · Birmingham |
| 5' | ⚽ | Tyler Bindon · Sheffield United |
| 11' | 🟨 | Christoph Klarer · Birmingham |
| 18' | 🟥 | Tommy Doyle · Birmingham |
| 25' | 🟨 | Keshi Anderson · Birmingham |
| 28' | ⚽ | Gustavo Hamer · Sheffield United |
| 51' | ⚽ | Patrick Bamford · Sheffield United |
| 90' | 🟨 | Japhet Tanganga · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 7 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sheffield United | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 |
| venue | Bramall Lane |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 750.00 | 567.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.36 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1630.81 | 1654.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.71 | -24.54 |
| eye test v1 | 0.50 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| league points | 23.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 7.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.06 | 0.46 |
| solidity v1 | 0.75 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.08 | 27.94 |
| state index | 0.66 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.04 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 102.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 1.32 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.95 | 1.16 |