← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Tom Nield, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Leicester win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR +0 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Leicester +0 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.97 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Koki Saito · QPR |
| 29' | ⚽ | Richard Kone · QPR |
| 33' | ⚽ | Karamoko Dembélé · QPR |
| 35' | 🟨 | Jordan Ayew · Leicester |
| 45' | ⚽ | Amadou Salif Mbengue · QPR |
| 77' | 🟨 | Ricardo Pereira · Leicester |
| 82' | ⚽ | Silko Thomas · Leicester |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rhys Norrington-Davies · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.59 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Loftus Road |
| coach days | 172.00 | 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.99 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1449.88 | 1492.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.30 | 2.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.66 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.76 |
| league points | 31.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.65 | -0.44 |
| solidity v1 | 0.13 | -0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | — | 28.29 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.91 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 138.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.25 | 1.70 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 1.06 |