← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Ruebyn Ricardo, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Hull win | 33% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Hull +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.93 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Charlie Taylor · West Brom |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mohamed Belloumi · Hull |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Oliver McBurnie · Hull |
| 50' | 🟨 | George Campbell · West Brom |
| 55' | 🟨 | Matt Crooks · Hull |
| 75' | 🟥 | Alfie Gilchrist · West Brom |
| 80' | 🟨 | Callum Styles · West Brom |
| 82' | 🟨 | Ryan Giles · Hull |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ivor Pandur · Hull |
| 90' | 🟨 | Chris Mepham · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | MKM Stadium |
| coach days |
| 172.00 |
| 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 3.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.29 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1470.16 | 1454.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.76 | 3.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | 0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| league points | 34.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | 0.25 |
| solidity v1 | -0.22 | 0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 29.01 | 26.05 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| travel km | — | 173.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 1.54 |