← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Elliot Bell, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Oxford win | 25% | 3.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Charlton −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Brian De Keersmaecker · Oxford |
| 78' | ⚽ | Charlie Kelman · Charlton |
| 80' | 🟨 | Lloyd Jones · Charlton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Miles Leaburn · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charlton | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | The Valley |
| coach days |
| 688.00 |
| 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1533.37 | 1414.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -67.59 | -11.28 |
| eye test v1 | -1.15 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| league points | 24.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.40 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -12.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.42 | -0.94 |
| solidity v1 | -1.64 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| state index | -1.21 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.58 | -1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.95 | 1.38 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.58 | 1.07 |